Tsiteeritud artiklitest natskvardija kohta on huvitav viimane - esimesed on stiilis "aga mis saab, kui". Selles viimases on aga juttu tšetšeenide kaasamisest natskvardijasse ja nende võimalikust kasutamisest Venemaal protestijate vastu (mis on igati loogiline ja palju kordi kasutatud võte). Selles öeldakse muuhulgas, et kuigi Kadõrovi jõudude inkorporeerimist natskvardijasse on vaadeldud kui pauku Kadõrovile, see nii pole:
Kadyrov’s forces – the kadyrovsti – number up to 30,000 and were also incorporated into the Guard. Some observers have assessed this as a heavy blow against Kadyrov, transforming his militia into a regular Guard unit, fully under Zolotov’s command. Yet this is hardly the case – the Chechen fighters are predominantly loyal to Kadyrov and cannot be deployed without his explicit approval. Needless to say, Kadyrov’s consent is needed in order to use these forces to maintain relative peace and stability in Chechnya. It is not surprising that Kadyrov has actually been exempted from Putin’s drive to increase the Kremlin’s control over the bureaucracy and general population.
Võtmeküsimus on ilmselgelt mujale paigutamise võimalikkus. Seni, kuni mujale paigutamine eeldab kokkulepet Kadõroviga, ei saa seda kasutada nende tasalülitamiseks.Putin has decided to establish the National Guard and increase centralization of the state apparatus, which has entailed a bloodless purge or retirement of many of his longtime associates. Kadyrov is a clear exception and he still enjoys permission to actually do whatever he pleases. The reasons for this approach to Kadyrov are manifold. Putin indeed regards him as the only force capable of providing a modicum of security in Chechnya. But Kadyrov and his Chechen warriors – loyal to Kadyrov and deeply alienated from the majority of Russians – could also play the role of peculiar Janissaries for the Kremlin; a last resort in case of a mass upheaval in Russia and the National Guard's inability to quell it.
Minu arust on idee, et Putin praegu Kadõrovil tiibu kärbib, soovmõtlemine. Veel enam, ma kahtlen, kas tal selleks üldse reaalset jõudu oleks.