Venemaa sõjaline võimekus ja armeereform(id)

[Kriku]

Šoigu eduraporteerib, et lepingulisi võitlejaid on VF relvajõududes 2x rohkem kui ajateenijaid:

«Jätkame kutselise armee loomist. Tänaseks on komplekteeritus ohvitseride osas viidud 96 protsendini ja muu koosseisu lepinguliste sõjaväelaste osas 99,4 protsendini. Neid on üle kahe korra rohkem ajateenijaist,» ütles Šoigu.

Tema sõnul on edukalt lahendatud ka sõjaväelaste ja nende perede sotsiaalküsimused. «Sel aastal on töötasu indekseeritud 3,7 protsenti. Järgmisel aastal on kavas seda tõsta veel neli protsenti. Eluasemekohustused on täidetud ligi 111 000 kaitseväelase osas,» ütles minister.

Šoigu sõnul on «üliõpilaste sõjalise väljaõppe süsteemi parandamiseks otsustatud luua sõjalise väljaõppe keskused veel kaheksa tsiviilülikooli juurde». Minister märkis Noorarmee (Junarmija) liikumise hoogsat arengut, detsembris võeti selle ridadesse miljones liige. Ta lisas, et üha rohkem luuakse riigis ka sõjalis-patriootilisi keskusi «Avangard», mida on tänaseks 42.

https://maailm.postimees.ee/7415031/soi ... korda-enam

[ruger]

SEPKA-väidetavalt 2017 aasta video
https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1473972998008983556

Liikursuurtükid Akatsija ja tankid Peterburgis
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 8489597954
Krasnodari krais soomukid
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 9471415296
Lõuna SVR-i pommitajad harjutasid hävitajate kaitse all lendamist
The crews of the Su-27SM3 of the Southern Military District completed the fighter cover of the air patrol over the Black Sea
https://twitter.com/RUSexercises/status ... 6413984772
Vanem pilt ja info-Krasnodari krais asuval lennuväljal arvatavalt kopteridessandiks valmistuvad VDV üksused 21.12.2021
A bit old already, but interesting in the light of current SMD VDV exercises.
Sentinel-2 imagery of Krymsk Airbase - Krasnodar Krai on December 21st, shows poss equipment, or helicopters, on the tarmac, in addition to the resident Su-27s/30s.
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 1534589956

SEPKA-Väidetavalt reservist välja kutsutud ca 75 000 meest.

A bit troubling isn't it. Any more information about the 75K reservists being called in?

https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1473972998008983556

[Miki]

Rostovi oblastis on alanud vabatahtlike värbamine riigi lahinguarmee reservi
BARSi reservväelastele antakse uued vormiriided ja makstakse sularahas. Ohvitser saab kolme päeva jooksul kuni 10 tuhat rubla, seersant-sõdur kuni 5 tuhat rubla. 30 päeva eest sõjaväelises väljaõppelaagris saab ohvitser 30–75 tuhat rubla, sõdur kuni 25 tuhat rubla.
https://www.panram.ru/news/armiya/v-ros ... rv-strany/

Ehk siis 25 000 rubla on 300 eurot.

Kriku

[an2]

Algul ei uskunud aga ametlik kurss on 75RUR 1 USD. Reaalne on veel kallim.

[ruger]

Lääne SVR-i juht käis Voronezi piirkonnas.
"Commander of the West Military District Colonel-General Alexander Zhuravlev paid a working visit to the combined-arms army in the Voronezh Region"
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 8170384388
7-le polügoonile püstitati lisa soojenduspunktid(ca 40), et seal olevad üksused haigeks ei jääksid.
"In total, about 40 additional heating points for more than a thousand servicemen were deployed simultaneously at 7 military training grounds in the Voronezh, Belgorod, Kursk, Bryansk, Smolensk regions"
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 4962094080

Orjoli oblastis-suund lääne-edela-lõuna ehk Ukraina poole-2 videot ühes: Gradid ja tankid+BMP-d ja insenertehnika
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 3342745605

Video vene sõjaväelasest, kes video järgi on üksusega saanud käsu ja suundumas Ukraina-EDIT-23:17 konto suleti peale video avalikustamist
Тимурчик выставил на видео хэштег - "Уезжаем в Украину"
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 3774703618

Kaasanis? tankid ja muu tehnika ešelonis
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 7529304065

Jelnjas asuv vägede koondumiskoht üsna elav
Sentinel-2 imagery of the 41st CAA camp at Yelnya, today December 23rd.
There are areas within one of the main vehicle parks, that shows lower density. This indicates that equipment may have been removed.
Also signs of increased activity in the tent camp.
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 7605452805

Balti laevastiku dessantlaevad harjutavad
"The large landing craft "Kaliningrad" conducted artillery fire within the framework of the exit to the sea"
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 5243725833

Balti laevastiku merejalaväeüksused harjutasid lahinglaskmistel suurtükitule juhtimist
"Training in firing and artillery fire control conducted by the marines of the Baltic Fleet"
Khmelevka training ground
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 4039104512

Krasnodaris tehnika ootamas-ešelonist pärit sõjaväelaste enda video-meestele väljastatud sõjaväe toidupakid
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 3889229826

Krimmis oleva üksuse territoorium on tehnikat puupüsti täis
Bakhchysarai, Crimea. Russian brigade-level unit: 100s of armored vehicles including APCs, tanks, self-propelled artillery; air defense equipment. Photo 1, October. Photo 2, December 13.
https://twitter.com/Mike_Eckel/status/1 ... 0776480781
That’s the 136th Motor Rifle Brigade of the 58th Combined Arms Army at the base belonging to the 133rd Logistics Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet.
Looks like a Msta-S 152mm howitzer battalion at the bottom, a 2S3 Akatsiya 152mm howitzer battalion in the top left, a tank company (presumably T-90A), and two BMP-3 motorized rifle battalions. Possibly an air defense battery below the BMP-3.
https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/statu ... 4595790860

Voronezi piirkonnas asuva armee ohvitseridele õpetati, kuidas EW võimaldab toime tulla droonidega
Officers from the Western Military District's 20th Combines Arms Army conducted a training exercise in Voronezh, which included instruction on how EW can counter UAVs, including the Turkish TB2 UCAV in service with Ukraine
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1474187755806674956

Lõuna SVR-i hävitajad Su27SM3 liigutati Krimmi lennuväljadele
Russian Southern Military district moved Su-27SM3 jets to airfields in occupied Crimea during exercise
https://twitter.com/Liveuamap/status/14 ... 0250960896

Krimmis toimus BTG õppus ja sinna kogunesid piirkonnas olevate BTG-de juhtkonnad arutama koostööd VDV üksustega
A battalion tactical exercise was held in Crimea as part of an operational gathering of the commanding staff of formations and military units of the Airborne Forces
https://twitter.com/RUSexercises/status ... 5215923201

[nolem]

Väike Eesti valmistab vene laevastikule suure probleemi
http://k-politika.ru/malenkaya-estoniya ... -problemu/

et vandid ka ei väsi, tsitaat üllitisest: "Да, эта ракета выглядит смешно по сравнению с российскими гиперзвуковыми «Цирконами»." problem aint selles, et kurikuulsat "Tsirkooni" pole keegi kusagil isegi (erinevalt armaatast) näinud mitte- peale multikate muidugi...

[ruger]

Skeem Vene vägedest Ukraina piiri ääres

https://twitter.com/COUPSURE/status/1474486488800890888

[metroo]

Üle 10 000 sõjaväelase tuuakse Krimmist ja Rostovi oblastist tagasi oma alalistesse asupaikadesse, teatab Lõuna SVR. Sõjaväelased veetsid kuu aega väliõppustel.
https://echo.msk.ru/news/2957242-echo.html

[HAT]

Omamoodi lugu vene armee võimekusest- maksavad kohalikule pätile .
Süürias käinud maksavad rohkem. https://ura.news/articles/1036283668

[ruger]

Krimmis püstitati vägedele juurde soojenduspunkte
"Additional heating points for military personnel deployed in Crimea at military training grounds of the Black Sea Fleet"
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 3054428162

Üks venelaste tehnikaliikumisi uurinud satelliit lülitus ootamatult välja
One of the two Sentinel-1 SAR satellites are currently offline.

https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 6992942082

[Miki]

Üle 10 000 sõjaväelase tuuakse Krimmist ja Rostovi oblastist tagasi oma alalistesse asupaikadesse, teatab Lõuna SVR. Sõjaväelased veetsid kuu aega väliõppustel.
https://echo.msk.ru/news/2957242-echo.html

Ehk siis "kosmeetika", sõjaväelaste alalised dislokatsioonipunktid jäävad kiviviske kaugusele Ukrainast. Saavad telkidest kasarmutesse sooja…
https://structure.mil.ru/structure/okru ... 529@egNews

[ruger]

Krimmi suunas liikus Vene üks uusimaid õhutõrjekomplekse S-350, mida hetkel on kasutatud ainult Moskva kaitsel-2019 kasutusele võetud. Kas Moskvast Krimmi saadetud või on uus tehnika sinna liikumas.
Состав проследовал пару дней назад через Краснодар в сторону Крыма. На видео видны силуэты ЗРК, больше похожего на ЗРК С-350.Если это окажется именно он, то это либо снятый с Подмосковья дивизион, либо ВПК начал уже серийные поставки в боевые полки.
https://twitter.com/galandecZP/status/1 ... 8397345794

Brjanskit läbis ešelon, milles side ja juhtimispunktide ning inseneritehnika
https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1474807981053198343
Brjanskis tanke vedav ešelon
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 3132362755
Iskanderid kuskil teeääres
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 8484524033
Lennuväli rasketehnikat täis-brigaadi mahus tehnikat
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 2562465793

BMP-2 battalion, T-72B3 company, 2S3 Akatsiya 152mm howitzer battalion, and BM-21 Grad battery with other supporting equipment.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1474905043841212420
Voroneži piirkonnas toimus Pogonovo polügoonil paiknevatele üksuste juhtidele näidisõppus
"A demonstration exercise was held in the Voronezh region with the commanders of the combined arms army of the Western Military District"
Pogonovo Training Ground
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 0437709825
Tjumenis tehnikat
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 6978013186
Ära viidud tehnika ja 10 000 mehe kohta ametlik selgitus-tehnika vajab hooldust. Ja vajadusel liigub uuesti tagasi. Alalisest tagasitõmbamisest pole juttu.
Here is the Ru MOD statement. This isn't a withdrawal.
"Before the onset of the new year, all military equipment involved in field exits of troops will be serviced and prepared for further operation according to the plan for the winter training period."
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 6094468105
Also this just concerns the Southern military district, no words of Western and Central military district deployments (unlike the April drawdown).
thank you, I can read "совершат марши в пункты постоянной дислокации"))
They talk of activity in the entire SMD. If the units in the field in Astrakhan and ranges in the Caucasus go home, I wouldn't be surprised. Same as Rostov, no reinforcements there yet.
In Crimea, likely a drawdown at Opuk.
Overall however: The buildup continues.
10 000? If it's a Russian statement its exaggerated by a factor of ten. That leaves one thousand going home on leave etc which out of 100 000 plus is quite normal and in fact modest for this time of year. It's disinfo as usual. Disregarded.
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 6094468105
As a reminder, Russia announced all its forces would return to their permanent bases last April 21 except for the 41st CAA. Most of those units didn't leave until weeks later when there was progress with the Putin-Biden summit. Russia will still be able to invade on short notice.
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1474817300310208525
EDIT 26.12.2021 Soome meedia andmetel viidud ära ainult veidi üle 3000 mehe
Among other things, STT published a news item based on Interfax news. BTI's news was also shared by YLE.
A significantly smaller number of troops, more than 3,000, were withdrawn from Ukraine's borders and the occupied territories of Ukraine (Crimea).
https://twitter.com/menqvist70/status/1 ... 4919420931

I would caution against interpreting today's Southern MD press-release as a change in Russian force posture, and the end of the buildup.
The movements that are the cause for greatest concern, both in the north and in Crimea, has never officially been labeled exercises.
The SMD has conducted various local exercises, and these have now concluded. According to the press-release, SMD will maintain heightened alert through the upcoming holidays.
The 58th CAA artillery at Novoozerne, and the 136th MRB elements at Bakhchisaray didn't take part.
Overall, the buildup appears to continue, with more 1st GTA, 6th CAA and CMD units arriving in the north. Also poss new movements in the SMD.
We have a long, tense winter ahead of us. If the order to go is issued, the warning-time will be very short.
I assess that most capabilities are present, but there hasn't, as far as I have seen, been a large shift to final assembly areas/jump-off positions yet. Also, except for Opuk, VDV is quiet.
According to the original US warning, the buildup would continue well into January.
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 1077638146

[ruger]

Krasnodari piirkonnas liikus rannikul rannikukaitse radarisüsteem Monolit-B
That is a Monolit-B coastal surface and air reconnaissance system vehicle there.
https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1475037218645364741

Klintsy piirkonda toodi veoautosid ja kütuseveokeid
Logistics unit, with trucks and fuel-tankers, at the railway station in Novozybkov, west of Klintsy.
Weather matches the past few days.

https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 0192330752
https://twitter.com/COUPSURE/status/1475113960491950089
Üksuse tehnika ja mehed pärit
Техніка на станції Новозибков судячі з такто знаків належить 7 огтб місто Чебакуль в/ч 89547
239-й гвардейский танковый Краснознамённый, орденов Суворова, Кутузова, Александра Невского Оренбургский казачий полк в/ч 89547
https://twitter.com/4emberlen/status/14 ... 7649133568

Monolit-B coastal surface and air surveillance system. So if it's indeed the Krasnodar Krai, those could be elements of the 11th Coastal Missile-Artillery Brigade from Utash (45°5'18"N 37°18'13"E).
https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status ... 0569135107

Moskva ringtee juures M7 maanteel oli vähemalt 5 S-400 raketiveokit kokku 20 raketiga
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 1239914498

Wikipedia andmetel asus alates oktoobrist ka Moskva õhukaitsesse esimene üksus S-500 süsteemidega
The first S-500 regiment went on combat duty in Moscow on 13 October 2021

The first regiment of Russia’s advanced S-500 air defense systems has been delivered to a military unit guarding the airspace of the Russian capital Moscow, a source close to the Russian Defense Ministry has told TASS.
"The first regiment of the S-500 air defense systems has entered service with a unit, whose combat duty is to guard and defend the airspace above the capital of the country," he said, without specifying the military unit and the date when the systems entered service.
The airspace above the Russian capital and the Central Industrial District is guarded by the 15th Aerospace Forces Army (Special Purpose).
According to the source, the second S-500 regiment will be handed over to the Russian troops in the first half of 2022. The source added that it was a "long-term contract."
https://tass.com/defense/1348691

BML-i suured dessantlaevad jõudsid tagasi Kaliningradi
”Ships of the Baltic Fleet have traveled more than 10,000 nautical miles and returned to Baltiysk
The large landing ships (BDK) of the Baltic Fleet "Minsk" and "Korolev" returned to the military harbor of Baltiysk”
https://twitter.com/balticjam/status/14 ... 5659012102

Venelased oskavad oma tehnikat ära mudasse uputada-liikursuurtükk
https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1475142212572876803
Nädal vana video-tank
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 0983995397
Lolluste tegemine
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 8367608840
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 1633819652
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 3171431425
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 2226552835
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 2045747202

[ruger]

Täna palju liigutamisi. Ka otseselt meie piiri tagant liikus Pihkvast ešelon lõuna poole. Soovime siis sinitriibulistele tuult tiibadesse ja lühikest punkti panekut seal(uut UKR Tochka täpislööki kogu üksusele). Ukrainlastel ju kogemus antud üksusega käitumises
Looks like BMD-4 and BTR-D airborne infantry fighting vehicles and apc:s.
If this is indeed filmed in Pskov, that would mean that elements of the 76th Guards Air Assault Division are moving somewhere.
76th is manned fully by contract soldiers
https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1475391854996828162
https://twitter.com/4emberlen/status/14 ... 2165048328

Klintsy lähedal siis aktiveeritud üks vähekasutusel olev üksuse asukoht
Just checked through close to 500 Sentinel-1 images from Jan 2019 - Dec 2021 and can confirm that this base has had no significant activity until the last 2 weeks. The base is approx. 57km by road to the nearest border crossing with Belarus.
https://twitter.com/KyleJGlen/status/14 ... 6163833859
https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1475427799364214786

Vene tehnika ešelonidel
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 2028312577
https://twitter.com/justice_scales/stat ... 7466100738

BML-i korvett Soobrazitleny harjutas tema pihta lastud raketi tõrjumist.
The Baltic Fleet Steregushchiy-class corvette Soobrazitelny, has conducted a SAM live-firing exercise, against a target missile launched from the Nanuchka-class Passat.
Press-release says 10 BALFLT ships are/were at sea.
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 9969071109

Lääne SVR-i toimus õhukaitseõppus suuremastaabilise strateegiliste objektide rünnaku tõrjumiseks
"The military air defense forces of the Western Military District conducted an exercise to repel a massive air strike by the "enemy" on strategic targets"
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 6673950729
THE RUSSIAN ARMY HAS CONDUCTED A DRILL TO REPEL A MASSIVE AIRSTRIKE AT ITS WESTERN BORDER - IFAX.
https://twitter.com/FinancialJuice/stat ... 0563756036
The loading of 9А317М Buk-M3 TELAR with missiles during recent Russian air defense exercises in the Western Military District.
https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status ... 0303069184

Musta mere laevastiku EW üksused harjutasid üksteise side mahasurumist
This is a very interesting exercise:
"Specialists of the communications and electronic warfare (EW) units of the Black Sea Fleet (BSF) conducted a bilateral exercise to confront each other in the field."
https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 1177740288

[ermot]

Üks venelaste tehnikaliikumisi uurinud satelliit lülitus ootamatult välja
One of the two Sentinel-1 SAR satellites are currently offline.

https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/statu ... 6992942082

Süsteem püsti ja kurdavad miski pardal asuva tarkvara anomaalia üle. Satelliit oli rivist väljas 24/12/2021 19:32 UTC kuni 25/12/2021 12:08 UTC.

Muuseas, meilegi soovi korral kättesaadav ja soomlased usinasti kasutamas. Near real time olukorrateadlikkuse võimekus:
https://labo.obs-mip.fr/multitemp/visua ... entinel-1/
https://sentinels.copernicus.eu/web/sen ... d-coverage
Ja natukene satelliidi võimekusest tuvastada erinevusi sõjalaevade tegeliku ja soovitud asukohtade vahel:
https://globalfishingwatch.org/data/ana ... el-tracks/