Minumeelest on Andrew Yang ainuke (ja establishment'i väline) kandidaat, kellel natukenegi sisu on. Tema poliitika tundus alguses jabur-populistlik (kodanikupalk!), aga seda teemat uurides on märgata et ta ei pane huupi vaid pakub ideid välja ikka üsna hoolikalt läbimõeldud (pealtnäha äärmiselt optimaalses) terviklahendusena. Kuigi tema võit on äärmiselt ebatõenäoline on ta siiski mitu debatti üle elanud ja 1% toetajate pealt vaikselt 5% peale tiksunud.chac kirjutas: Varuge popcorni
Bernie-billionares-should-not-exist-Sanders - versus - maailma rikkuselt 14. ja usa rikkuselt 9. inimene - demokraatide debatil.
Pakun et kaugelt meelelahutuslikum kui Trump-Bloomberg debatid, imho.
Üsna hästi seletab USA tegelikku probleemi (mida pea kõik kandidaadid vähemasti senimaani on ignoreerinud) ära siin arvamusartilis:
Ehk paljuski on Trumpi fenomeni taga kaduv "vanade heade aegade" lihtöö. LLähiaastatel sööb automatiseerimine ära vee miljoneid stabiilseid sarnseid lihtöö ametikohti. Kannatavad enim inimesed, kes pigem ei ole suutelised ümber õppima suurema nõudlusega töö peale (programmeerimine vms). Omades "käppa sees" räniorus teab ta et üllatavalt ruttu on automatiseerimisega kadumas suur osa Amazoni laotöötajate kohti, varsti ka ka taksojuhi/kulleri/rekkamehe ning igasugu kiirtoiduketi töötajate omad.For Americans who are still trying to figure out why Trump is President, the answer is simple -- we automated away millions of manufacturing jobs in the Midwest, and Trump spoke directly to the fear and anger of those voters. He promised them that he would restore those jobs -- a promise on which he has notably failed to deliver. Here's the reality, though: The financial crisis of 2008 brought our 14 million manufacturing jobs (itself a low plateau from the 17 million in 2000) down to 11.4 million, and 10 years of expansion has only brought us back up to 12.8 million.
But what happened to manufacturing workers will soon happen to retail workers, call center workers, fast food workers, truck drivers and others, as the next Industrial Revolution takes hold of our economy. Bain, a leading consulting firm, projects automation will disrupt jobs at about three times the rate of the Second Industrial Revolution, which sparked thousands of strikes and mass riots at the turn of the 20th century.
If you doubt that this is already happening, consider that America's labor participation rate (the ratio of people who are working compared to the total population aged 16 and over) today has fallen to 63%, about the same level as Ecuador and Costa Rica. In the US, almost one out of five prime, working age men have not worked in the past year, and our life expectancy has declined for the past three years, in part due to surges in drug overdoses and suicides. This is before a projected 33% of American malls and retail stores may be forced to shutter their doors, and it might not be long before truck drivers are replaced with self-driving trucks.
Lihtöö ei kao ära, kuhugi, aga jääb järgi ebameeldivam ja hoojalisem töö ja konkurents kohtadele pigem tiheneb oluliselt. Lahenduseks pakub ta muuhulgas käibemaksu ja kodanikupalka (mis erinevalt Eestist USA mastaapide puhul on ka teostatav).
Siin on ta üsna põhjalikult vastanud korduma kippuvatele küsimustele kodanikupalga teemal. Näiteks tüüpilise vastuargumendi "inflatsioon sööb kohe kõik ära" kohta ütleb ta sedasi:
ja seda kinnitavad ka mõned testprojektid ja uuringud, näiteks selline huvitav teadusartikkel siit säutsu-lõimest.The federal government recently printed $4 trillion for bank bailouts in its quantitative easing program with no inflation. Our plan for UBI uses mostly money already in the economy. In monetary economics, leading theory states that inflation is based on changes in the supply of money. The Freedom Dividend has minimal changes in the supply of money because it is funded by a Value-Added Tax.
Samuti on ta välja mõelnud kust raha tulema peaks. Üldiselt käibemaks haakub antud teemaga kaunis hästi. Tavaliselt tuleb see vaesemate taskust, aga antud juhul nullib selle suuresti kodanikupalk. Erinevalt rikaste maksudest millest on kerge kõrvale hiilida, tuleb käibemaks tasuda ostmishetkel, mis teeb selle vältimise väga raskeks (ja Euroopas ka edukalt töötab).
Lisaks siis igasugu muude toetuste kadumine (pensionid, abirahad ja kogu meeletu bürokraatia nende tõestamiseks ja haldamiseks). Ise on ta selle kohta kirjutanud nii:
Aga arvutanud on ka teisi, näiteks siin.The means to pay for the basic income will come from four sources:
1. Current spending: We currently spend between $500 and $600 billion a year on welfare programs, food stamps, disability and the like. This reduces the cost of the Freedom Dividend because people already receiving benefits would have a choice between keeping their current benefits and the $1,000, and would not receive both.
Additionally, we currently spend over 1 trillion dollars on health care, incarceration, homelessness services and the like. We would save $100 – 200+ billion as people would be able to take better care of themselves and avoid the emergency room, jail, and the street and would generally be more functional. The Freedom Dividend would pay for itself by helping people avoid our institutions, which is when our costs shoot up. Some studies have shown that $1 to a poor parent will result in as much as $7 in cost-savings and economic growth.
2. A VAT: Our economy is now incredibly vast at $19 trillion, up $4 trillion in the last 10 years alone. A VAT at half the European level would generate $800 billion in new revenue. A VAT will become more and more important as technology improves because you cannot collect income tax from robots or software.
3. New revenue: Putting money into the hands of American consumers would grow the economy. The Roosevelt Institute projected that the economy will grow by approximately $2.5 trillion and create 4.6 million new jobs. This would generate approximately $800 – 900 billion in new revenue from economic growth.
4. Taxes on top earners and pollution: By removing the Social Security cap, implementing a financial transactions tax, and ending the favorable tax treatment for capital gains/carried interest, we can decrease financial speculation while also funding the Freedom Dividend. We can add to that a carbon fee that will be partially dedicated to funding the Freedom Dividend, making up the remaining balance required to cover the cost of this program.
Tasub üldse ta lehelt "policy" alt uurida, mis ta tõekspidamised on. Enamik tundub ikka üsna mõistlik (muuhulgas näiteks vajadus tuumaenergiasse panustada jms).
