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The Baltic membership in NATO is believed to be an extremely difficult and painful issue for Russia. A decision to invite the Lithuanians, Latvians, or Estonians would bring the Alliance across the former Soviet border — thus eliminating a highly sensitive psychological barrier. Owning to their geographic position, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are considered the ideal staging area for air and cruise missile attacks deep inside Russia. Also, since they are difficult to defend, their security within NATO would have to be guaranteed by some kind of trip wire mechanism, whether by means of symbolic U.S. troops deployments or in the familiar form of nuclear weapons. Last, while Estonia’s membership would bring NATO to the doorstep of St.Petersburg, Lithuanian membership would turn Kaliningrad into a latter-day version of West Berlin.

Russian traditionalists perceive “NATO’s expansion to the Baltics” as a dangerous provocation, and see the prospect of Ukraine’s joining NATO almost as a casus belli. Having advanced so far, the Alliance, they argue, will be in a position to finish Russia off, which they see as the West’s ultimate goal.
Ukraine’s prospects as a potential member are remote at best, but its willingness to cooperate with the Alliance is real, and growing. Although the Charter of Distinctive Partnership between NATO and Ukraine is a much-reduced- size model of the NATO-Russia Founding Act, the relation- ship has been vibrant and expanding. To recognize that fact, in February 2000 the North Atlantic Council held its first- ever meeting outside Brussels, in Kiev. Even if Kiev remains a partner rather than a member, the NATO issue will weigh heavily on Russo-Ukrainian relations.
There is the potential for a crisis to threaten the internal stability of Ukraine. To some in Russia this would be a golden opportunity to “liberate” eastern, southern, and central Ukraine, as well as Crimea, all deemed to be pro-Russian, from pro-Western “Galician rule.” Afterward, the Uniate, anti-Russian province of Galicia would be amputated for the sake of the remaining Orthodox Ukraine. Such a crisis, however, could lead to large-scale violence, and even war, into which Russia and the West would probably be drawn. This is where the Balkans-type scenario, feared by Russian military planners and some civilian strategists, may actually become a reality.

HeiniR kirjutas:Akfid juba puudutasid seda miinivaritsuse teemat.
Millegi pärast Ukr puhul pole siiani kuulda miinivaritsusest sellises võtmes nagu meie seda näeme, kolonne on jubtegelikult jõhkralt. Ukr sõdib ikkagi konventsionaalselt, sellega ei taha öelda,et midagi pahasti,aga miiniga saaks tekitada jama just rahva poolt. Needsamad vanad mehed linnades,kes saavad väga hästi hakkama jälgimise ja initsieerimisega.

pagan kirjutas:Kas on midagi mida kodanikud saavad ettevalmistavalt ära teha, või midagi mida saaks kodanike eest ära teha? Näiteks informeerida raadiosagedusi või luua permanentsed WIFI levialad Elon Muski starlinki abiga kuskile kaubanduskeskustesse ja nende maaalustesse parklatesse (varjendid)?

kangelaspioneer kirjutas:Miinidest ja miinivaritsustest pole pilte sellepärast, et keegi pole pilte ega videoid teinud. On väga loogiline, et tsiviilliiklus pannakse sellises kohas kinni, ukrinlased oma varitsusi üles ei lae (kasvõi üllatusmomendi säilitamiseks), venelased samuti mitte, lõpptulemusest sõltumata. On keegi näinud videoid suurtest lahingutest, millestki enamast kui juhuslik kontakt või suitsevad rusud maanteel?

olavsu1 kirjutas: ... kas [user]mart2[/user] on kuulnud juhitavatest pommidest. need juhivad end selliste märkide järgi.