Kriku kirjutas: ↑17 Okt, 2022 8:37
Juba avalause on vähe imelik:
Military force without diplomacy cannot deliver lasting results
Kogu praegune Lääne-Euroopa poliitiline süsteem on üles ehitatud Hitleri vastase sõja tulemuste otsa.
Edasi ei lähe paremaks:
With Russian military setbacks in Ukraine and domestic challenges to the war’s conduct—on top of his confrontation with the collective West without the help of allies—Putin may well consider negotiated arrangements which could be acceptable to the West. This includes a ceasefire with some peacekeeping arrangements and rules of the game to make the ceasefire more lasting. Russia would have to give up its current position that all territories of the newly annexed provinces—including those currently under Ukrainian control—should belong to Russia. Russia would also need to relinquish its original demand of the removal of Zelensky’s government. Ukraine in turn would need to accept that those territories controlled by Russia would not be returned until subsequent negotiations. A ceasefire would also prohibit any sabotage or terrorist acts against Russia, something that Ukraine has increasingly practiced with NATO’s not-so-silent consent. The plan would additionally need to address sanctions: no new sanctions could be introduced while the ceasefire was in place, and there could be some relaxation of existing ones.
Et siis jätame Venemaale need alad, mis ta on suutnud ära vallutada, muidu tuleb tuumasõda
.. Ukraine in turn would need to accept that those territories controlled by Russia would not be returned until subsequent negotiations...
Saan sellest mõttest nii aru, et algul jäävad russidele ja siis pärast läbirääkimiste kaudu siis Ukraina saab kontrolli tagasi. Aga no selge see, et kui midagi "ajutiselt" russidele jätta, siis sellest ajutisest saab lõplik, ükskõik mida siis hiljem ka kokku ei lepita. Nagu ka mainisin, siis mina ka kõigega ei nõustu, mis kirjas.
Aga pigem see üldine mõte, et seljavõit russide üle ei ole ilmselt võimalik ja valmis peab olema mingiks kompromissiks. See kompromiss sõltub ilmselt olukorrast rindel, olukorrast energiaturgudel, USA ja EU sisepoliitikast, Hiinast, Indiast jne - muutujaid väga palju.