https://twitter.com/akihheikkinen/statu ... 4285941761Either this article is wrong or I'm missing something here. Wasn't the call up only for 1st stage?
Kharkiv region 2nd stage reserve in exercises since 9th December
https://www.unn.com.ua/ru/news/1766868- ... zervistamiВ областях Украины, где было введено военное положение, проходят сборы резервистов. Как сообщила пресс-служба Министерства обороны Украины, вчера в Харьковской области начались проверочные сборы с военнообязанными и резервистами оперативного резерва второй очереди, приписанными к отдельной бригаде территориальной обороны, передает УНН.
"Мероприятие проводится в форме единого стрелкового дня в нескольких уголках области. В ходе данного собрания будут проводиться занятия по огневой, тактико-специальной и медицинской подготовке, а также по другим направлениям военного обучения. Практические занятия организованы на базе военных полигонов боевых частей Вооруженных Сил Украины и Национальной гвардии Украины", – пояснил командир бригады подполковник Игорь Кифоренко.
https://www.err.ee/883764/err-pariisis- ... am-hakkamaMarine Le Pen ütles, et Venemaa ei kujuta Euroopale mingit ohtu. "Tuleb lõpetada nende juttude rääkimine lastele, kus on pidevalt üks suur ja kuri hunt, see tuleb lõpetada. Venemaa on tegelikult partnerluse võimalus ja majanduslik võimalus ja praegu oleme me neid sundimas Hiina poole pöörduma."
Le Pen ei nõustu, et Putin on okupeerinud teise riigi. "Ei, ta ei ole okupeerinud teist riiki, Ukrainas toimus riigipööre, inimesed tulid võimule ilma valimisteta, nad ei austanud Ukraina põhiseadust. Krimm kasutas seda võimalust ära, nõudes enda liitmist Venemaaga, sest nad peavad ennast venelasteks. Ma ei tea, kas te olete Krimmis käinud? Mina olen. Tean, et seal peavad end kõik venelasteks. Nad hääletasid selle poolt, et liituda Venemaaga. Ukraina tänaseid riigijuhte hinnatakse kõrgelt. Mina aga ütlen, et nad on petised, keda abistavad natsid. Tegelikkus on selline ja ei midagi muud," ütles Le Pen.
https://empr.media/opinion/analytics/ru ... -forecast/Dangerous processes can begin in Ukraine at the end of this week. They can assume a threatening nature from the third decade of the month. The Kremlin may try to realize their long-standing “isthmus scenario,” using several pretexts at once. Such “complex forecasts” were made by military columnist and blogger Oleksiy Arestovich on the UAportal.
Judging by what is happening, including an alleged attack on Mariupol by the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced in the “DPR”, I think that this can be the launch of the Azov-Crimean isthmus scenario. Russians have long been prepared to launch it, but with no dates set for it so far.
Now, when there is a date of the Unifying Orthodox Council, I think we can expect that around December 15, some actions will begin in our country, such as members of the Orthodox Church will revolt; they will not allow a schism, and so on.
If these scenarios are successful, then around December 20, perhaps, the actions in Donbas will be taken. These actions will be taken on a bright shining lie that ‘the Armed Forces of Ukraine are provoking, and we are only responding to their provocation’. And, perhaps, Russia will try to use some chess moves near Berdyansk, Mariupol and the Crimean isthmus, because the problem of water and water supply of Crimea is very acute.
I do not think they will resort to an open invasion. But the following scenario is possible: local self-defense forces will begin to establish other “people’s republics” under the pretext of tiredness from a religious conflict and economic lawlessness of the Kyiv’s authorities. And Russia will come to the rescue of its Orthodox brothers.
That is, a key question is: what will Russians do in connection with Tomos in our country by the end of December?
http://radiolemberg.com/ua-articles/ua- ... end-europeTwo dates are significant for the possible Russian offensive. The first is December 14, the day that Kremlin propaganda picked for the Mariupol provocation to occur. The second is December 15, the day that the unification council for the creation of an autocephalous Ukrainian Orthodox Church will begin.
http://iswresearch.blogspot.com/2018/12 ... ed-to.htmlKey Takeaway: Russia will likely escalate militarily against Ukraine imminently. Russia is setting military conditions to prepare its forces for open conflict with Ukraine. Russia is already creating the pretext to escalate by circulating the false narrative that Ukraine and the West are preparing imminent attacks, including a chemical weapons attack, in Eastern Ukraine. Russia may fabricate evidence of a chemical weapons attack – or may itself conduct a chemical weapons attack -- near Russia-backed areas of Ukraine to create chaos, justify the overt involvement of the Russian Armed Forces, and set conditions for future military operations. NATO’s inaction following Russia’s escalation in the Sea of Azov is likely emboldening Putin to continue challenging the West in Ukraine. NATO must reassess the threat that Russia poses to European security and the rules-based international order and respond decisively to deter an increasingly likely Russian military escalation in Ukraine itself.
Russia is taking overt steps towards open conflict with Ukraine. Russia has been waging a covert war against Ukraine using proxy separatist forces in eastern Ukraine since 2014. The Russian military is now preparing its forces for direct military involvement. The Kremlin is reinforcing ground, naval, and air elements in its Southern Military District - the command likely responsible for managing its ongoing war in Ukraine. Moscow may calculate that the international community will not meaningfully respond if the visibility of its role in the war now increases.
https://twitter.com/TetySt/status/1072910595148705792Commander of captured ship Berdyansk refused to testify in Russian court until his subordinates were released. His position as commander of the boat is that he alone is responsible for what was happening, his crew carried out his orders and cannot be held accountable.
https://twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1072920122124394501wargame thread: If you were commanding the #Russian armed forces, how would you capitalize a situation where international community hands you an opportunity to attack #Ukraine without interference?
As the front lines in #Donbass are fortified, mined and the Ukrainian reserves have rotated through the area any attack would be costly and require concentrations of heavy artillery, armor and specialist combat engineering vehicles.
A heavy armored thrust from the Belgorod and Bryansk regions would strike directly at Ukrainian reserves in the Kharkiv region. Defeat of those UA forces would force the defenders around #Donbass to fall back or risk encirclement and destruction.
With Ukrainian army falling behind Dnieper and Russian heavy hitters near #Kiev. It would be very hard for the Ukrainian political leadership not to give in to "Russian demands that still retain a crippled, but independent Ukraine"
Russia has a reinforced army corps north of Ukraine and it has rehearsed moving both the heavy hitting 1st Guards tank army from Moscow and the forces from the central military district to that region. 1st and 20th armies provide and overmatch against Ukrainian forces.
Russian perfidy in the Kerch Strait was even worse than I thought. Just met in Kyiv with Ukraine’s Navy Commander, Admiral Voronchenko, who said the (Russian) Kerch Maritime Authority had radioed the Ukrainians and requested they wait for an escort to pass the strait.
The Ukrainian trio of ships were directed to an anchorage to await further instructions. That’s when they were ambushed by FSB boats and attack helicopters. Only the tug was rammed because the small gunships were too fast. FSB boats next opened fire on the retreating boats.
The Ukrainians also intercepted comms where the FSB instructed the Kerch Maritime Authority not to reply to the Ukrainian request for passage until the FSB boats were positioned to attack. This was an pre-planned ambush pure and simple.
https://www.postimees.ee/6476424/moskva ... aletungiks«Olemasoleva teabe kohaselt kavatseb Kiiev korraldada lahutusjoonel lähipäevil relvastatud provokatsiooni, et kasutada ära Donetski ja Luganski oblastis kehtestatud sõjaseisukord, korraldada kiirpealetung Mariupoli suunas, et hõivata (Donetski rahvavabariigi käes olevad) Aasovi-äärsed alad ja pääseda Vene piirini,»
https://twitter.com/akihheikkinen/statu ... 1984771072Ukraine Military Intelligence: Russian proxy Novohuilos to hold large command-and-staff exercise on Dec 20-25th.
Russian propaganda film crews have already arrived in area.
https://twitter.com/akihheikkinen/statu ... 8934971392Ukraine Minister of Defence Poltorak: Russia moved Iskander missile unit normally garrisoned in #Krasnodar to only 50km away from border, #Kyiv now in range.
Kasutajad foorumit lugemas: Bing [Bot] ja 2 külalist
