Olukord Iraanis

[hjl85]

Lisaks 7 C-17A Globemasterit

https://x.com/theintelfrog/status/19045 ... 80574?s=46

[lennumudelist]

Variandid:

a) nähti, et huthid ei painutanud põlve eelmise rünnakulaine tõttu, nüüd kavatsetakse maatasa tampida (B2 valiti, kuna kardetakse B52 alla laskmise ohtu, kuigi viimane tambiks tõhusamalt)

b) keegi rääkis Trumpile, et Iraan saadab huthidele vidinaid (mis ongi nii), too läks selllest põlema ja valmistub nende varustajaga piike murdma

[ruger]

Iisraeli uudistekanal

Channel 13: Amid U.S. efforts to restart diplomacy with Iran, Netanyahu has held closed-door meetings regarding Iran with top defense officials. A senior Israeli source says: "There will be no choice but a military confrontation with Iran." — No comment from PM's office.

https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/1906031882266960327

Diego Garciast liikus välja Lähis-Ida suunale USA lennukikandja grupp

After being ordered to the U.S. Central Command’s (CENTCOM) Area-of-Responsibility earlier this week by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, the USS Carl Vinson (CVN-70) departed today from Guam heading towards the Middle East, expected to arrive in the region sometime in mid to late April.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1905835556048613582

Iraan lubab rünnaku korral Diego Garcia mereväebaasi ja teisi USA baase üle Lähis-Ida rünnata

Telegraph: Iran has issued a warning: if Donald Trump orders an attack on Iran, Tehran will retaliate by striking the U.S.-U.K. naval base on Diego Garcia in the Chagos Islands.

This base is currently hosting multiple B-2 bombers.

https://x.com/Osint613/status/1906087774018482176

EDIT 30.03.2025

According to @N12News, The IDF has been instructed to finalize all preparations for a strike on Iran by mid-2025.

https://x.com/Osint613/status/1906243294088114604

[ruger]

Iraani endine QUDS vägede juht osutuski Iisraeli heaks töötavat ja on nüüd elusalt ning turvaliselt seal. Temalt saadud info viis Hamasi ja Hezbollahi juhtkonna surmasaamisele. Teda kuulati mitmeid kordi kahtlusalusena üle.

Breaking: Iran's IRGC Quds Force commander Gen. Esmail Qaani is confirmed safe in Israel

It can now be revealed that he was an Israeli asset, providing intelligence that led to elimination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, and Hezbollah leaders Nasrallah and Safieddine.

https://x.com/DrEliDavid/status/1907097276167884906

Iraan valmistub võimalikuks preventatiivseks rünnakuks Diego Garcia'le, kui Trump ületab teatud piirid.

A senior Iranian official told The Telegraph that top military commanders are being urged to launch a preemptive strike on Diego Garcia if Trump’s threats become more serious. "Discussions about the island have intensified since the Americans deployed bombers there," the official said.

https://x.com/Apex_WW/status/1906778018242036138

[ruger]

USA liigutas Aasiast THAAD õhutõrjespsteemid Lähis-Itta

NBC News is reporting that the Pentagon has ordered the relocation of at least 2 U.S. Army MIM-104 “Patriot” surface-to-air missile batteries and a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-ballistic missile defense system from Asia to the Middle East in the past few days, as tensions between Iran and the United States continue to grow and future military action against Iran seems more and more likely.

Reports of these relocations appear in line with a massive number of tracked military cargo flights to the Middle East over the last week by the U.S. Air Force’s Air Mobility Command (AMC), with dozens of C-17s and several C-5s arriving at Isa Air Base in Bahrain as well as other bases near the Persian Gulf, almost all of which originated from Osan Air Base in South Korea; with planes continuing to arrive today at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and Djibouti International Airport near Yemen.

The relocation of critical air-defenses such as THAAD and the repositioning of the USS Carl Vinson (CVN-70) and her Carrier Strike Group to the Middle East, as well as the deployment of at least 6 B-2 “Spirit” Long-Range Strategic Stealth Bombers recently to Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, suggest that the United States may be preparing for a major conflict soon with Iran.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1907279644488798457

[ruger]

SEPKA-Iraan väidetavalt sulgeb/sulgemas oma õhuruumi Iisraeli-USA rünnaku kartuses

Iran closes airspace in preparation for war against the US, — Mehr, citing the country's government

Iranian forces are ready for any development and are putting the entire army on the highest level of readiness

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/19 ... 5024903196

[lennumudelist]

Diego Garcia ründamise ähvarduse osas - mina ei ole veendunud, et Iraani relvad sinna ulatuvad. Tsiviil-kosmoseraketid Safir ja Simorgh ulatuvad kindlasti, aga need on lennuväljade ründamiseks ebapraktilised vahendid - ettevalmistamist on nii palju, et vastane teab päev enne starti, et "nüüd tuleb midagi".

Shahab 6 on tänaseni väga ära salastatud, ei ole teada, kas eksisteerib. Shahab 5 on kuulujuttudes kauem eksisteerinud, arenduse ajakava on realistlikum, ja nii nagu mina mõõdan, jääks Diego Garcia napilt spekuleeritud lennuulatusest välja. Spekulatsioonid ütlevad 4300 km, kaardil paistab olevat vaja 5300 km (kui huthid appi ei tule, nende juurest on 4000 km).

Teine asi on, et ilma laskumise aegse inertsnavist parema juhtimiseta nad lennuvälja ei taba. Aga mingite aeglustumise/vältimise manöövrite ja sihtmärgi leidmise võimekusest pole kusagilt lugeda olnud.

USA poole pealt: ootamatut stealth rünnakut ei saa sealt saarelt teha. Nad peavad õhus tankima oma pommitajaid. Aga Iraani võime avastada ja vaadelda võib olla küllalt nõrk, et seda tralli mitte märgata.

[ruger]

USA, Iisrael, Katar, AÜE harjutavad Kreeka vete lähedal. Lisaks India oma vene päritolu lennukitega.

Qatar
UAE
United States
Israel
All flying side by side in Iniochos Warrior air force drills in Greece.
Not in the Middle East.
Not under NATO command.
But in neutral airspace — far from the media spotlight.
What does this mean?

Regional rivals don’t just “train” together without a reason.
This is about preparation — not practice.
A shadow coalition is forming — quietly, and fast.

https://x.com/JimFergusonUK/status/1907362185631674625

Su-30MKI of the Indian Air Force is among the aircraft participating at Iniochos 2025. Aviation enthusiasts were in place to photograph them flying low through Vouraikos, but they only flew overhead.
But hope never dies

https://x.com/MyronGian/status/1907483428133494908

[ruger]

USA liigutab Lõuna-Koreast Patriot kompleksid Lähis-Itta Bahreini

According to Yonhap News, South Korea and the United States have agreed on a plan to temporarily relocate several MIM-104F “Patriot” PAC-3 Surface-to-Air Missile Batteries from U.S. Forces Korea (USFK) to the Middle East, as tensions continue to grow with Iran. The agreement comes following reports last week from NBC News that U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth had authorized at least two “Patriot” Missile Batteries as well as a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) Anti-Ballistic Missile Battery be moved from Asia to the Middle East; while flight trackers observed dozens of military cargo flights from Osan Air Base in South Korea to Isa Air Base in Bahrain.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1908190374918566070

[Sakamoto]

Diego Garcia ründamise ähvarduse osas - mina ei ole veendunud, et Iraani relvad sinna ulatuvad. Tsiviil-kosmoseraketid Safir ja Simorgh ulatuvad kindlasti, aga need on lennuväljade ründamiseks ebapraktilised vahendid

Lahendus võib olla järgmine https://x.com/i/status/1908549870207545729
Iraan kasutab juba ammu cargo laevu sõjalistel eesmärkidel http://www.hisutton.com/Iran-Navy-IRGC- ... Ships.html
https://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2024 ... ic-missile
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/ho ... 839/zoom:9
et kui Iraan on seda juba suutnud, miks seda ei suudakas vene "cargo" laevastik, liinil Peterburg-Kaliningrad!

[lennumudelist]

Aitäh harimast, ei teadnudki, et nad merelt ballistilisi rakette teele on saatnud.

[Erureamees]

Noh, seda ballistilist raketti mingi suvalise kaubalaeva pardale viia märkamatult on ka vaid kinos võimalik.

[Sakamoto]

Noh, seda ballistilist raketti mingi suvalise kaubalaeva pardale viia märkamatult on ka vaid kinos võimalik.

raketid on paigaltatud merekonteineritesse, need "suvalised kaubalaevad" ja konteinerid on selleks ümber ehitatud.
kui Usa on oma kodutöö ära teinud, et teab 100% mis laev, kus sadamas paikneb, mis marsuudil sõidab, siis ehk ei jää märkamatuks.

[Poti soldat]

Strateegilised pommitajad Diego Garcias. Täiendavad USA raketitõrjesüsteemid Iisraelis. Teine lennukikandja grupp liikumas Lähis-Itta. Huthide pommitamine Jeemenis. Nüüd juba ka mingid kinnitamata kuuldused jänkide kohalolust Bagrami baasis Afghanistaanis. Selline karvane tunne, et käib täiesti reaalne Iraani pommitamise kampaania ettevalmistamine.

[kalvis]

Tegu on sõja ettevalmistumisega. Kuigi tuli teade läbirääkimiste alustamiseks siis tõenäoliselt keerab USa vindi üle, sest nokats tahab maksimumi.
Okupatsiooni vaevalt aga üks korralik pommitamine kindlasti...
Põnevam on Iraani vastukäik. Kasulik oleks terrorism ja diversioon kus pole teada kes laksu andis...